COWBOYS @ BEARS PREVIEW – THURS. NIGHT DEC. 5TH!
TWO 6-6 TEAMS BATTLE ON THURSDAY NIGHT PRIME TIME GAME BOTH BADLY IN NEED OF A “BIG” WIN!
VEGAS ODDS: DALLAS COWBOYS (-3) vs. CHICAGO BEARS ~ TOTAL: (43/ 43 1/2)
COWBOYS OFFENSE — OVERALL (1), RUSH (8), PASS (1).
COWBOYS DEFENSE — OVERALL (8), RUSH (16), PASS (8).
BEARS OFFENSE — OVERALL (29), RUSH (28), PASS (28).
BEARS DEFENSE — OVERALL (7), RUSH (7), PASS (9).
Well folks when the schedule makers made this special Thursday game I am quite sure they didn’t expect, nor like seeing, both teams coming in at (6-6). Both were expected be having much better seasons and now for both teams, a sweep of December games to end up with a Playoff spot. I am not a Cowboys fan, but wow I did not see this (6-6) record after their fantastic (3-0) start to the 2019 season. Going (3-6) the past 9 games is quite a shock when you see the Offensive Numbers the Cowboys are posting up thru 12 games. The Cowboys boast the #1 overall Offense, and QB Zac Prescott has five (300+) passing yard games but somehow the team lost 3 of those 5 games. The Cowboys struggled their past 2 games, scoring only 9 and 15 points and now will be facing a Bears Defense that is #7 in the NFL, and their 3rd straight Top 10 Defense. On top of that, the Bears Defense has allowed over 20 points just twice all season. Dallas is (3-2) straight up on the Road this season, with the losses by just 1 point and 11 points. In the Cowboys 6 losses they average only (17.3) points per game. One other strange stat is the fact that in RB Zeke Elliot’s first 3 years he had only 4 games of 60 rushing yards or less. This season he has 4 already.
Next up let’s look at the Bears Offense. If you listen to the media the only problem with the Bears is their QB Mitch Trubisky. To every person in sports who say’s that, you have no clue and need to get out of sports media ASAP. Look this Offense top problem is the OL. Next it’s the horrific play calling all year by the HC/Play caller Matt Nagy. It’s almost insanity to think that the WR corps dropping the most balls of all 32 teams is third is really telling. Now we add the RB’s have simply not been very good and you can clearly see their are lots of reasons this Offense has struggled this season, not just poor Mitch. Look when you are the #29 Offense, for the most part you likely normally aren’t even in the Playoff hunt. But somehow they still are, thanks to 3 wins in their past 4 games. Last week Trubisky had by far his best game all season, passing for 338 yards and 3 TD’s. He’s actually been very good his past 4 games, going (94-145-979-8 TD’s) so that bodes well for the teams chances to somehow run the table to finish the season and maybe steal a Wild Card spot. He will face though a Cowboys Defense that is #8 overall, and one that held Pats Brady and Company to just 282 total yards and just 1 TD. The key to this game could be the start for the Cowboys Defense, because right now this Defense closing games (4th qtr) the past 5 games, they’ve allowed a total of only 12 points. The Bears have played very close games it’s past 6, with those 6 decided by just 1, 8, 7, 10, 5 and 4 points. At Home, where they should be so much better, they are just (3-3). The 3 wins are by 5, 7 and 10 points, so not one dominating win at Soldier Field all season. Their 3 wins in the past 4 games are against last place teams, so they will need to play their best game all season vs. a now hungry Cowboys team that controls it’s own fate on whether they win the NFC East or not. The good news for the Bears is they may get back their stud DT A. Hicks, who since he went out with injury, the Bears Defense is allowing 108 rush yards per game. He was a “beast” slowing the opposing teams run game and to me one of the 3 biggest injuries any team has suffered this season. His arrival back would be a huge help as they could need less help to load the box and be able to add an extra rusher to get to Cowboys QB Dak Prescott, who has been sacked a league low 16 times this season.
Both teams are (6-6) straight up, but the Cowboys are (7-5) ATS, whereas the Bears have been a “money killer” is a terrible (3-9) ATS. The Cowboys have played 7 “OVERS” and 5 “UNDERS”, while the Bears have played only 4 “OVERS” and 8 “UNDERS”.
The Bears chances to win here are decent thanks to the fact Dallas is averaging just (17.3) points in their 6 losses and their Defense has allowed only 20 points twice. This game screams “CLOSE” and I’d expect that it ends up with the Winning team winning the Turnover battle. Again it’s crazy that this Dallas team with the #1 Offense is just (6-6). They have scored 98 points more than the Bears have, so they clearly have been able to score a little easier than the Bears Offense has. That means the Bears likely play this one close to the vest, very conservatively, and hope (well Pray) the Defense can play one of it’s best games all season and keep Dak and Company in check for a third straight week. The game should have decent weather with kickoff temp at 45 degrees, not bad for Soldier Field in a December game. This looks like a team trying a last second Field Goal grabs the win. Well that’s if the stinkin’ Kicker can actually make a big kick under last second pressure.
Enjoy the game and may all your bets be WINNING ones.
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