MON NIGHT PREVIEW: CHARGERS vs. CHIEFS (11-18)!
“MUST WIN GAME” FOR CHARGERS AS LOSS HERE ENDS PLAYOFF HOPES FOR SURE!
VEGAS ODDS: KC CHIEFS (-5 or -5 1/2) vs. LA CHARGERS ~ TOTAL: (52 1/2 / 53)
GAME LOCATION: MEXICO CITY (ESTADIO AZTECA STADIUM) (*7, 349 feet above sea level).
KC CHIEFS OFFENSE (#3) vs. LA CHARGERS DEFENSE (#6)
LA CHARGERS OFFENSE (#16) vs. KC CHIEFS DEFENSE (#22)
In life we know two things are “sure” things: Death and Taxes. The third as close to “sure thing” as we know is the Chargers and the Colts will likely play in a close game, and for the Chargers, it’s very likely a made or missed FG on final play will decide the game. So far 8 of the 10 Chargers games have been decided by a TD or less. Four of their 5 games away from Home have been decided by 1, 2, 3 and 3 points. The Bolts have now played “UNDER THE TOTAL” 7 of it’s 10 games.
Kansas City’s Offense hasn’t slowed one bit on Road, scoring 28, 30, 32, 34 and 40 points. Four of their 5 Road games has gone “OVER THE TOTAL”. The Chiefs Defense has allowed 28 points or more 5x this season. Tonight brings some Good News to KC fans, as key OL Fisher and Erving and D-Tardiff will all start after all missing games. This should really help QB Pat Mahomes with more time to hit his wide outs. Bad News for the Chiefs is 2 of their best DL, Ogbah and Okafor are out. Luckily for the DL, stud Frank Clarke returns from injury tonight. The Chiefs needed a full arsenal vs. LAC DE’s Bosa and Ingram, 9 combined sacks the past 4 games.
KC started out as great as possible (4-0), but now just (2-4) since. Chargers Offense makes a ton of mistakes, QB Rivers has 10 interceptions, and until 2 weeks ago RB M. Gordon was looking as bad as he possibly could. The Offense was not clicking and so they changed OC Play calling to young S. Steichen. In 2 games with him calling plays, they have rushed for 305 yards, with Gordon now looking like his old stud self again (188 rush yards). I’d doubt the Chargers slow down running the ball as KC is the 2nd worst Run Defense in the league. Unlike the good news the Chiefs are getting on their OL tonight, the Bolts have key players out, including their Center. The OL is doing fine blocking for the Run, but putting lots pressure on Rivers when trying to Pass the ball.
SHOCKING STAT FOR THIS GAME:
KC Chiefs stud Tight End Travis Kelce has never scored a TD or had a 100 yard receiving game in 10 seasons facing the Chargers Defense. The Bolts secondary rarely allows the deep ball big play, but they do allow a staggering high (72%) of opposing QB’s passes to be completed.
HIGH ALTITUDE: CHARGERS PRACTICED ALL WEEK IN IT AT AIR FORCE ACADEMY, THE CHIEFS PRACTICED AT HOME AS NORMAL:
Well to try to be more prepared for the “rare air” in Mexico City, the Chargers team went to Colorado Springs and practiced for the past week. This was a very smart move and could play a major role in the game or at least have the Chargers players more used to it than had they not.
Nice temps for the game in mid 60’s but their is a 20% chance of rain during tonight’s game.
For the Chiefs, a win tonight keeps them 1 game up on the Raiders, who they host next week, and have already beaten. A win here for KC and next week too almost locks up the West of the AFC. A loss though and a loss again next week to the Black and Silver and they will be down a full game with only 4 games to play.
This game is one of the tougher ones to handicap, with so many intangibles, and of course the high altitude very tough to handicap. I will say they are loading up on the Chiefs, on a weekend the Books got crushed by 10 favorites winning straight up, with the two not covering the hapless Redskins and Carolina, who most were racing to the Book to make a bet on. It’s always a fun game when we witness a long time rivalry in a Division, especially later in the season. For most average Joe bettors, if you can bet on or against young Chiefs QB Mahomes, 9x out of 10x they are betting “ON” him.
Enjoy tonight’s game and have a great new week ahead.
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