NFL WEEK 11 SUN. NITE PREVIEW: BEARS @ RAMS!
RAMS AND BEARS OFFENSES TRY TO PICK IT UP A NOTCH VS. SOLID DEFENSES ON SUNDAY NIGHT!
VEGAS ODDS: CHICAGO BEARS @ L A RAMS (-6) ~ TOTAL: (39 1/2)
CHICAGO OFFENSE: #29 IN NFL ~ 81 RUSH/182 PASS (One of 5 teams averaging under 200 yards passing per game)
CHICAGO DEFENSE: #9 IN NFL ~ 94 RUSH/233 PASS Allowed
LA RAMS OFFENSE: #12 IN NFL ~ 96 RUSH/280 PASS
LA RAMS DEFENSE: #11 IN NFL ~ 91 RUSH/240 PASS Allowed
These two teams met last year at Soldier Field, and the Bears won (15-6), the first time under Rams HC McVey the Offense did not score a Touchdown. The Rams Offense was held to a season low 214 total yards, and QB J. Goff threw 4 interceptions. Rams RB Todd Gurley had only 28 yards rushing.
Neither team Offense is clicking right now, as the Bears Offense hasn’t for most part of this 2019 season. The Bears have scored over 21 points just twice all season. Last week Bears QB M. Trubisky had his best Offensive game, with 3 TD passes, but he was sacked 5x, vs. what I consider worst overall Defense in the NFL, the Lions. On the Road this year, the Bears scored 21 points vs. hapless Washington, but only 16, 21 and 14 in the other 3. The Rams Offense has gone south of late, scoring only 3 points it’s last 6 quarters. Part of their struggles of late have been monster injuries to Offensive Lineman, including the most crushing loss, losing Center B. Allen, for the season. If you followed me for years, my first look when handicapping any game is Off Line vs. Def Line match ups. It’s never good when you have to move a Guard to Center, but the Rams will be doing that in this Sunday Night affair vs. Bears. Even worse for the Rams is they will start 4 new Offensive Line starters in this one, which surely has Bears LB K. Mack salivating.
Last week the Rams Offense likely hit a low they will probably never redo again as they simply could not ever get into any rhythm, as they could only muster a FG the entire game vs. the Steelers. Their stud WR C. Kupp was held to no catches, proving how huge the loss of speedy wide out B. Cooks is (was). The last time these 2 met the Bears Defensive Game Plan worked to perfection. They loaded the box with 6 guys at Line of Scrimmage and used only 1 Linebacker. They were going to stop the Run and force Goff to beat them thru the air. He was so flustered, he had his worst game as a Pro (4 int’s).
The Bears troubles if you listen to the media is all QB Mitch Trubisky. But he’s not on my top 3 problems. The HC Nagy has been one of 3 worst this year, his play calling atrocious. The Offensive Line (allowed the joke Lions D to get 5 sacks last week) has been terrible, and when I watch tape of the Bears Offense close, when Mitch has time, he makes good throws. He’s not had much time. His run game scared no Opposing Defense and with the OL getting pushed back and not helping their RB’s at all, the Offense has struggled as expected. The Bears Defense is good, but in no way have they been not part of the problems this year as well. When the team needed important stops, they rarely have gotten them. Now they will add a second “KEY” missing piece (stud DT A. Hicks was lost weeks ago), as now stud LB/playmaker and heart of Defense, D. Trevathan is out. The Bears Nagy calls the plays and he has been so vanilla, more calling the game “not to lose” than to win. In fact his first play drive play calling is by far worst in NFL by all teams, with the Bears Offense scoring just once on that first drive the entire season. He isn’t helping Trubisky at all, and to me he is in over his head as HC and Play Caller. The Bears also could be without top RB D. Montgomery as he rolled his ankle in Practice on Wednesday and could miss this one.
This game will likely be played as a Defensive battle, with both Defenses deciding the winner. The Bears D has held it’s last 3 opponents to 22 points or less. The Bears D has coming out flying the past 3 games, combining to allow only 13 first half points and grabbing 7 sacks. The Rams Defense is playing great of late, holding it’s last 3 opponents to under 20 points, with 8 sacks in those 3 games combined. The addition of stud CB J. Ramsey has shored up the secondary.
The Rams have lost back to back Home games, but QB Goff’s past 10 Home starts have been solid in stats department. (328 yppg-23 TD’s – only 4 Int’s). I definitely rate the loss of speedy WR Cooks as big a loss for any Offense there is, as his absence makes WR Kupp become doubled on most plays.
The Rams have played 4 straight UNDERS, and the Bears games have had combined scores of 33, 36 and 33 in it’s last 3 on the Road (all Under tonight’s total of 39 1/2).
This game may not be pretty as both Offensive Lines are just plain bad right now. The best talent tonight is on the Defensive side of the ball. I don’t see how you could bet either side with much confidence tonight as both Offensive Units simply are not clicking. Sadly this game will somehow be one of biggest bet games of the Week 11 card. I’d say don’t let your Sunday come down to a bigger wager than your normally making to “SAVE FACE” for a losing day until this one kicks off.
Enjoy the Week 11 card and may all your wagers be Winning ones.
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