CHICAGO BEARS (-5 1/2) at the Washington Redskins (TOTAL 41) – WEEK 3 – SEPT. 23, 2019

The Bears Offense that seems totally out of sync, and worst of all to the point even the HC (and Playcaller) Nagy looking very hesitant to have QB Trubisky throw anything deep. He’s had a few shots at wide open deep shots and he’s missed them all badly. Amazingly Trubisky has only thrown 16 total passes so far for 10+ yards. You have to make a ton of long sustained drives if you are just dinking and dunking all your passes on Offense. Trubisky is dead last at only (4.8) yards per pass attempt, he’s dead last in QB passer rating (65.0) and he’s 27th in Passer completion (58.3%).  The Bears Offense has only gained 5+ yards on 18 of it’s 51 First Down plays so far. When you have a QB who isn’t passing it well, you are in big trouble to put many points up on board after so many bad first downs.

It’s very clear Bears HC is now trying desperately not to have Trubisky lose the game, figuring he has one of the 3 Best Defenses in the NFL. The Bears Defense for the most part as been even better then last year. They are 2nd in Yards per play allowed (4 ypp), 3rd in Scoring Defense (12.0 points allowed average), and 3rd on 3rd down conversions by Opposing Offenses (19.29%). They already have 7 Sacks in just two games. Now they face the Redskins Offensive Line without it’s best player LT Trent Williams (sitting out like a crybaby) and so you have to believe that Mack and Company will be throwing the kitchen sink at the Skins OL tonight.

The Skins came into this season with a Defense many felt would be solid Top 10 material. So far they have been the sole reason for both losses, tiring out in the second halves and allowing a combined 569 Total Yards to the Eagles and Cowboys. They have gotten burned often on gigantic big bomb type passes more than twice (2 went for TD’s of over 50 yards). The Redskins simply can’t get off the field on third downs and by second half it’s clear they have gotten very tired. Having the 2nd worst Pass Defense in the NFL surely won’t end up with lots of “W’s” in the WIN column. What makes football so great is situations like tonight where you have one teams Offense (Bears) unable to make third downs to keep drives alive and the opponent (Redskins) unable to make a third down stop. Something will have to give here and the better team in this stat tonight likely wins.

Washington Redskins quarterback Case Keenum (8) celebrates a touchdown during an NFL football game against the Dallas Cowboys, Sunday, Sept. 15, 2019, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Mark Tenally)

The Redskins QB controversy with Case Keenum given job has not turned into a reason why Skins are (0-2). Keenum, when he’s had time, has thrown a ton of very nice passes and he’s now got a speedy WR weapon in Rookie McLaurin who is torching opposing Defenses in his first two Pro games. The Redskins simply can NOT run the ball. The Offensive Line has had no push forward and the poor RB’s are getting hit either right at line of scrimmage or in the backfield. It surely won’t get any better tonight vs. a solid Bears Defense up front. The biggest loss for the Redskins is not having it’s leader and Pro Bowl LT Williams suiting up, but there is a close second loss as well with do it all super Tight End Reed being out again (concussion). This Skins Offense is completely different, and not for the better, without him in there.

Let’s last look at past success on MNF. The Bears are (5-1) in their last 6 Monday Night appearances. The Redskins are (0-6) their last 6 MNF appearances. The Redskins are money burners on MNF over the years going just (7-21) ATS. The Redskins though are a perfect (5-0) ATS vs. the Bears the last 5x these two teams faced off.

Last very key STAT: The last 7 overall Chicago Bears games have ended in this total points: 21, 41, 23, 34, 31, 19, and 30 points total amount points scored in the games. All but the one time there were 41 points scored, the games have easily gone UNDER the posted betting Total.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The loser goes (0-3) and you can almost put a fork in that teams Playoff chances. It was stunning to see how scared Bears HC Nagy was not calling any plays for QB Trubisky in last week’s game. Nagy was horrible with play calls in week 1 loss to Packers, running it only 15x and passing it 50x. No way he’s doing that tonight, and you can expect to see more Trubisky running the ball too. Two teams likely to play it very conservatively in hopes to just sneak a win out in this one and avoid the (0-3) start. Don’t expect many fireworks unless you like players getting hit hard, early and often.

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