Well as we get deeper into the season we get to have more weekday night games to bet on and tonight we get two games in the MAC Conference to bet. Now this is one of the lower talented Conferences of all of them and sadly this year may be this Conference’s weakest ever. But when there is a game on National TV, most people who like to bet will tonight regardless how bad these teams actually are.

Let’s take a betting look at both games.


Let’s first look at the bad, ok wait the really bad. Both Offenses rank in bottom 16 of all teams in CFB. Bowling Green is #114 and Mia-Ohio is 6th worst at #124. Shockingly Miami-Ohio is a 17 point favorite tonight. They do possess a slightly better Defense (#66), compared to Bowling Green, who has the (#104) Defense.  As you can see both teams have some really bad issues on basically both sides of the ball.

Bowling Green averages only 17 points a game and Mia-Ohio only 22. They both allow over 30 points per game. Bowling Green has been bad on Road, scoring 10, 20, 20 and 0 points. Mia-Ohio is 4-1 in it’s last 5 games and playing much better than earlier in the season. The big problem taking them as a 17 point favorite tonight is in their last 4 games they have scored only 24. 23, 27 and 16 points. Their past 2 home wins were by 14 and 3 points. Mia-Ohio won last years meeting 38-23. BG must win out final 3 games to become Bowl eligible. The Offense has really struggled all season in Conf. Play and hence why they now must win out to just be Bowl eligible. It doesn’t help BG that their “D” is 10th worst in nation vs. run so they aren’t on field enough to put up tons of points. Tonight the good news is their weak Offense will be facing a Mia-Ohio Defense also horrific vs. Run (#108th overall). 

Mia-Ohio leads the MAC East with a (4-1) record and they are solid vs. Pass (#37) and they’d be higher but they got bombed by Ohio State in opener allowing the Buckeyes 76 points.With BG scoring 20 or less vs. 7 of the 8 FBS opponents so far, I wouldn’t expect to see them score a big bunch tonight. Mia-Ohio is (6-0) against winning record teams of late, and (6-1) ATS at Home their last 7.  BG is (0-4) ATS it’s last 4 on Road, and (2-9) ATS vs. Winning teams and (2-8) ATS it’s last 10 overall. This will likely be last hard effort by BG as a loss knocking them from a Bowl berth usually signals kids throwing in towel. For Mia-Ohio, they have sights on winning a Conf. Title, so you know they will come out fired up tonight. These two did go “OVER” their past 3 meetings. Either bet you make is betting a poor overall team. Good luck and enjoy the sweat. 


N. ILLINOIS @ TOLEDO (-2 1/2)  ~  TOTAL: (54 1/2)

The defending MAC Champs, N-Ill. haven’t played to their expectations this season and yet tonight they have a big game vs. rival Toledo, who once again possesses a solid Offense, but they have one of the worst Defenses (#118) and they really struggle vs. Pass and both teams tackle very poorly. N-Ill. Offense has really been sluggish the entire season. They rank (#97) and simply can’t score TD’s inside red zone (14 of 24 tries). The Defense though has fared well inside the red zone (allowed only 20 TD’s in 36 trips) keeping them in many games. As bad as Toledo’s Defense has been, they have been at least solid inside red zone (allowed only 15 TD’s in 30 trips). Toledo averages almost 100 yards per game more than N-Ill but it’s Defense allows almost 100 yards per game as well. Neither can stop the Run, and since Conference overall doesn’t have a ton of separation (outside only Akron who is brutally bad), most games tend to stay close. Toledo won it’s last 2 games, but by only 2 and 3 points. N-Ill. has had 3 of it’s last 5 decided by a TD or less. Toledo will be out to avenge a beat down last year, losing 38-15 to the Huskies. Good news for N-Ill. is they come in rested off “Bye” week, but bad news their QB Bowers is one of worst QB’s in all of CFB (6 TD’s and 8 Int’s). 

Toledo brings in a relatively new QB, Eli Peters, who has looked good in a short stint thus far. The key for success for Toledo has been if they rush the ball well, for 190+ yards, they are (6-0). If they don’t get at least 190 rush yards, they are (0-3). These games like this with both teams weaker than solid in really all departments, is where team with fewest turnovers usually wins. Toledo is just (4-10) ATS last 14 games overall after a straight up win, hence they don’t carry winning momentum over too often.

This is another crap shoot/coin flip but at least the point spread is close to even, so for most part you pick the winner and you likely win your bet. 

Enjoy these 2 games on a normally dark Wednesday night, and may your wagers all be Winning ones.


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